Articles

Deutsche Bank argues the U.S. dollar has peaked and the euro has bottomed out

by editor on 2019-10-22 18:32:03 | 0 comments

Here’s some news that probably will cheer up one of its clients, President Donald Trump — Deutsche Bank believes the U.S. dollar has peaked. In a monthly note on its cross-asset strategy, Deutsche Bank’s argument against the dollar is more about an argument for the other side of the trade, the euro. The bank says European interest rates are already near the effective lower bound, leaving little room for more cuts. Plus, the manufacturing data between Europe and other markets are at extremes, where they tend to rebound...

Things aren’t looking great for China’s economy and it may only be getting worse

by editor on 2019-10-21 18:40:28 | 0 comments

If you thought China’s 6% growth rate for this year’s third quarter — which indicates that the country is growing at its slowest pace in nearly 30 years — was bad, brace for worse. The International Monetary Fund predicts that the Chinese gross domestic product will grow at a rate of 5.8% in 2020, according to its World Economic Outlook published over the weekend. Six months ago, the IMF had forecast a growth rate of 6.1%.  The downward revision was triggered by “the effects of escalating tariffs and weakening external demand,” which have “exacerbated the slowdown associated with needed regulatory strengthening to rein in the accumulation of debt,” the report states...

Why the bull market won’t end with a typical crash, says hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio

by editor on 2019-10-18 17:22:36 | 0 comments

The U.S. and China may be nearing a tentative, partial trade agreement but the IMF’s new leader has warned the trade truce won’t be enough to boost global growth. Another ongoing dispute may also be nearing a resolution, with the U.K. and EU agreeing a Brexit deal, though British MPs still have to approve it. But the U.S. has confirmed tariffs on $7.5 billion worth of European goods will take effect on Friday, proving that geopolitical tensions are here to stay. Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio, in our call of the day, says the global economy is in a “great sag” and the world has parallels to the 1930s...

Gold ends at highest price in a week as investors weigh tentative Brexit pact

by editor on 2019-10-17 20:15:44 | 0 comments

Gold prices edged higher on Thursday after the European Union and U.K. reached a preliminary Brexit deal, with worries that a deal may not pass a weekend vote in the British parliament and signs of a weakness in the U.S. economy providing support for the haven metal. “Gold’s gains after an initial small sell off suggest that many market participants remain skeptical of this latest Brexit ‘deal’,” and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s ability to get both the Democratic Unionist Party in Northern Ireland and the UK parliament to agree to the deal,” said Mark O’Byrne, research director at GoldCore in Dublin, told MarketWatch...

Why a strong dollar could be a warning sign in this market

by editor on 2019-10-16 07:55:21 | 0 comments

With so many conflicting signals about markets, the economy in the U.S. and abroad, the impact of the China-U.S. trade war, and more, what’s an investor to think? Through all the noise, there’s one measure that bears watching. Even investors who don’t trade currencies should pay attention to the strength of the U.S. dollar, according to a note out Monday. That’s because while the strong dollar has a lot of effects, its cause, at least right now, is that investors around the world are skittish...

New FxRebate partner broker: CrescoFX!

by editor on 2019-10-14 14:08:23 | 0 comments

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Brexit hopes sends British pound to highest level of Johnson administration as U.K. banks soar

by editor on 2019-10-11 19:38:35 | 0 comments

Growing hopes that U.K. and European leaders can reach an agreed deal for Britain to leave the European Union pushed the British pound higher for a second day on Friday. The pound GBPUSD, +1.7277%  rose as high as $1.2706, up from $1.2444 on Thursday, a day when the U.K. currency had its best single day percentage advance since March. Taken together, it’s the best two days of gains in over a decade. It’s the strongest sterling has been since Theresa May was prime minister...

Expert who called the 2008 crisis says repeat of December meltdown is inevitable

by editor on 2019-10-10 18:49:08 | 0 comments

Edge of your seat or under your seat may both be good spots to watch the U.S.-China trade talk-show getting under way Thursday. That’s judging by the stream of conflicting news reports that have been whipping markets around, such as one report saying the Chinese would bail early, briefly wiping 300 points off Dow futures late Wednesday. Wall Street shares are up in early trade on some promising trade headlines, but it’s early still. And then earnings season kicks off next week with some big banks...

Fed grew more worried about economy at September meeting, minutes show

by editor on 2019-10-09 19:01:42 | 0 comments

  Federal Reserve officials were more worried about the U.S. economy by the time they met in mid-September, according to minutes of the central bank’s meeting released Wednesday. “Participants generally judged that downside risks to the outlook for economic activity had increased somewhat since their July meeting, particularly those stemming from trade policy uncertainty and conditions abroad,” the minutes said. There was even talk about possible recession, with several Fed officials noting that the probability of a recession “had increased notably in recent months...

Here’s why European leaders may let an economic slowdown morph into a serious crisis

by editor on 2019-10-08 19:07:15 | 0 comments

The eurozone economy keeps slowing — forecasts are regularly proving to be too optimistic. After its latest cut to GDP estimates, the European Central Bank now sees gross domestic product growing 1.1% this year and 1.2% in 2020, compared with projections issued in June for 1.2% GDP in 2019 and 1.4% in the following year. Europe faces a double whammy of uncertainties both foreign — slowing world trade brought about by U.S. tariffs coupled with the threat of further escalation — and domestic, the increasing possibility of a no-deal Brexit...

New FxRebate partner broker: Infinox Capital!

by editor on 2019-10-07 21:14:18 | 0 comments

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THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE SITUATION - SEPTEMBER 2019

by editor on 2019-10-04 13:33:08 | 0 comments

THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION - SEPTEMBER 2019 The unemployment rate declined to 3.5 percent in September, and total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 136,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment in health care and in professional and business services continued to trend up. This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry...

Aussie Bears at Risk as Reserve Bank Has Reason to Dial Back Dovishness

by editor on 2019-10-01 16:53:17 | 0 comments

Investors betting on fresh losses in the Australian dollar are at risk of having their trades backfire this week. While the majority of economists predict the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates to a new record low on Tuesday, there are a number of factors that suggest policy makers may spur an Aussie rally by either deciding to stay on hold or delivering a hawkish cut by restraining expectations for any further easing. The central bank’s Aussie trade weighted index has fallen for an unprecedented fifth quarter, signaling the currency is delivering an extra dose of accommodation by helping underpin exports...

New FxRebate partner broker: UGL Exchange!

by editor on 2019-09-27 10:27:52 | 0 comments

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Termination of agreement with Pepperstone broker!

by editor on 2019-06-04 08:36:26 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: Vantage FX!

by editor on 2019-03-29 19:44:26 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: Destek Markets!

by editor on 2017-12-14 07:29:25 | 0 comments

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by editor on 2017-12-13 08:41:09 | 0 comments

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Euro Owes Its Strength to the News

by editor on 2017-11-30 07:23:55 | 0 comments

At the end of November, the Euro is feeling very well. A remote possibility of creating a governing coalition in Germany and a strong report published by the European Central Bank supported the main currency pair while the United States of America was celebrating the Thanksgiving Day. The EUR/USD has potential to reach 1.20 and grow higher, unless the news and the German politics throw investors “a curve ball”. Once again, investors have turned to Germany’s issue relating to a governing coalition...

Termination of agreement with ThinkMarkets broker!

by editor on 2017-11-29 06:03:10 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: MEX Group!

by editor on 2017-11-24 19:54:07 | 0 comments

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Rumors make the Oil go up

by editor on 2017-11-21 19:12:41 | 0 comments

The oil market has another reason to recover. At the beginning of last week, they were selling oil because there were rumors that Russia had no interest to extend the OPEC+ agreement, but at the end of it the price movement direction changed to the opposite. Saudi Arabia announced that Russia would support the OPEC+ agreement extension after March 2018. The closer November 30th is, when the OPEC is going to have a meeting in Vienna, the more doubts investors have about future announcements and actions...

The US Dollar Doesn’t Like Talks About The Rate

by editor on 2017-11-15 15:23:07 | 0 comments

Despite being pretty clear and logical, talks about the benchmark key rate increase in the USA in December are “haunting” some monetary politicians and investors. These doubts, which were mentioned in Patrick Harker’s comments below, put pressure upon the “sensitive” USD. Not long time ago, the FOMC member Patrick Harker said that one should be very careful when estimating the USA inflation and the Federal Reserve had to be ready for any stresses and shocks in the economy...

The USD is keeping balance

by editor on 2017-11-07 19:37:49 | 0 comments

In October, the Non-Farm Payrolls added 252K, although it was expected to expand by 313K. However, the September report was revised upwards (+15K) and sort of wore off the first impression of the statistics. The Average Hourly Earnings didn’t change; on YoY, it’s still 2.4%. This report also got investors’ attention: the predicted reading was 2.7% y/y. There was a similar situation this year, when the capital market focused on this very parameter and prevented the USD from being supported by other reports, which were pretty good...

The Oil is Updating Its Highs and Getting Ready for a New Attack

by editor on 2017-10-31 13:14:41 | 0 comments

The oil is still getting more expensive. Last Friday, the Brent futures contract price for December broke $60 per barrel and continues rising at the beginning of this week. The “bulls” clearly had enough time to “rest” during the weekend and right now are ready for new highs. The oil hasn’t been so expensive for more than two years – the current levels were last reached in July 2015. In early November, market conditions remain in favor of the oil buyers. It means that there might be more records in the future...

The Japanese Yen is planning to weaken

by editor on 2017-10-23 19:12:25 | 0 comments

"Abenomics” will continue. The Liberal Democratic Party led by the current Japanese Prime Minster, Shinzō Abe, secured a victory during the elections that took place last weekend. However, such results were expected: frankly speaking, the Opposition has nothing to offer instead of the current fiscal and monetary policy. Hardly anybody is ready to take responsibility for the weak inflation and the gradual increase of the national debt, but Abe, for example, is staying in power and continues being responsible for country’s financial and economic system together with the Bank of Japan...

The US Dollar is Vulnerable, But It’s Temporarily

by editor on 2017-10-17 15:11:37 | 0 comments

The US Dollar can’t manage to continue growing, and the more attempts to rise it makes, the more doubts appear that it can really rise during this particular period of market fluctuations. The EUR/USD has clearly set a course for 1.20 and may resume falling only after reaching this level. The statistics is against the USD so far. The numbers published last week, which were followed with insight, turned out to be weaker than expected and investors lost their interest (that was already very low) to the American currency...

New FxRebate partner broker: CMC Markets!

by editor on 2017-09-19 14:59:12 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: Fortrade!

by editor on 2017-09-12 15:54:55 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: GO Markets!

by editor on 2017-07-25 14:16:35 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: ApolloFX!

by editor on 2017-07-11 18:34:34 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: CM Trading!

by editor on 2017-05-15 20:31:05 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: LCG!

by editor on 2017-03-13 19:49:17 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: MaxFX!

by editor on 2017-03-09 11:34:53 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: USGFX!

by editor on 2017-02-08 22:23:43 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: Matador Prime!

by editor on 2017-02-07 14:23:40 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: CentroFX!

by editor on 2017-02-03 15:53:17 | 0 comments

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New FxRebate partner broker: Tallinex!

by editor on 2016-11-07 12:09:22 | 0 comments

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Will The Euro Remain Bullish In The Coming Days?

by editor on 2016-11-01 08:25:39 | 0 comments

Key Points: Euro exhibiting bullish bias. RSI Oscillator trending higher within neutral territory. Fed likely to hold rates steady at 0.50% The euro was strongly positive last week as the pair meandered higher in the early stages after a strong showing in the EU Services and Manufacturing PMI results. In fact, the recently embattled pair saw a 100 pip gain in the latter stages of Friday’s session due to some US weakness. However, it remains to be seen if the pair can retain its position above the key 1...

Morning Call 1.11.2016

by editor on 2016-11-01 08:16:20 | 0 comments

Yesterday`s news & numbers UK100 6981 +0.63% Germany30 10725 +0.44% France40 4535 +0.49% China's official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) expanded at the fastest pace (51.2) in more than two years in October, adding to views that the world's second-largest economy is stabilizing thanks to a credit and housing boom. Sterling slipped 0.1%to $1.2230 but was underpinned by news that Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said he would stay in his job for an extra year, until the end of June 2019...

Buy These 5 Low Leverage Stocks For Safe Returns

by editor on 2016-10-17 12:57:08 | 0 comments

“Growth based on debt is unsustainable, artificial” – Jose Manuel Barroso With capital being one of the basic factors of production, companies – especially those facing a dearth of resources – need exogenous funds to finance their corporate expenses, run operations smoothly as well as expand the realm of their business. Among equity and debt – the two most common options used to boost a company’s future earnings – debt is the more popular one. This is perhaps due to the cheap and easy availability of debt over equity financing...

We’ll know soon if the SP 500 is headed for a 22% wipeout

by editor on 2016-10-17 12:44:37 | 0 comments

Coming off a second week in a row of losses, the stock market feels more prone to waves of volatility than it has been in the recent past. That could make for some queasiness in the coming week as big name earnings combine with whatever ridiculousness is served up next from the elections. Bulls might find a kernel of hope in historical data that points to strong finishes in years when October hits the skids. In fact, the Dow over the last 120 years has gained an average of 6.8% from its lowest October close through December 31...

New FxRebate partner broker: ForexMart!

by editor on 2016-10-13 16:14:40 | 1 comments

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What’s Next For The Loonie?

by editor on 2016-10-06 07:52:36 | 0 comments

Key Points: Loonie continues to follow the wedge pattern higher. Reversal should occur around the 38.2% Fibonacci level. Could move as low as the 1.30 handle. Despite what has proven to be a bumpy ascent, the loonie continues to push consistently higher and this has been exacerbated by the recent swell in sentiment for the USD. As a result, the short-term forecast for the pair should remain relatively bullish. However, keep half an eye on the pair as it could take another corrective slide to the downside as it moves to challenge the upside constraint of its long-term wedge structure...

Dollar holds gains as investors set their watches for jobs data

by editor on 2016-10-06 07:42:25 | 0 comments

The dollar held on to much of its overnight gains against the yen in Asian trade Thursday, as investors await Friday’s U.S. jobs data to shape their views on the Federal Reserve’s next move. The greenback USDJPY, +0.19%  was changing hands at ¥103.50 after going as high as ¥103.62 earlier in the session. The U.S. currency was at ¥103.50 late Tuesday in New York. Powered by strong U.S. service-sector data, the dollar surmounted a crucial resistance at ¥103.25 overnight -- a level which had capped the U...

New FxRebate partner broker: BDSwiss!

by editor on 2016-09-29 20:44:58 | 0 comments

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AUD Upbeat On Carry Appetite

by editor on 2016-09-28 08:43:44 | 0 comments

The EUR/USD tests 1.1201 (200-hour moving average & Fibonacci 50% on Sep 21th to Sep 26th rise). The downside correction is under way after the failure to clear resistance at 1.1284 (Sep 15th peak). More bids are sheltered at 1.1190 / 1.1174 (major 50% and 61.8% retracement). The USD/JPY traded rangebound in Tokyo. Traders are uncertain regarding the trajectory of the yen since the Bank of Japan (BoJ) failed to pull the market on its side after several attempts. Intra-day resistances are eyed at 100...

Draghi Goes Head-to-Head With German Critics of ECB Policy

by editor on 2016-09-28 08:27:45 | 0 comments

Mario Draghi is facing some of his prominent German opponents as lawmakers in Berlin get a rare chance to press him for an eventual end to record-low interest rates in the euro area. Four years after the European Central Bank’s president last met German lower-house members, dissatisfaction about the ECB’s asset-buying program and rate policies runs deep, particularly among Chancellor Angela Merkel’s lawmakers. They’ll have 90 minutes to spar with Draghi in closed session on Wednesday, including over his insistence that Germany’s budget surplus means it has fiscal leeway to boost demand...

New FxRebate partner broker: TrioMarkets!

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New FxRebate Online Payments Provider: Fasapay!

by editor on 2016-06-02 12:09:38 | 0 comments

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